Find Mispriced Polymarket Bets with AI News Analysis

Automatically scan the top active Polymarket markets every 2 hours, cross-reference political coverage from major news sources, and get Slack alerts only when the AI identifies a potential 10%+ mispricing.

What This Workflow Does

Every 2 hours, this workflow fetches the most active Polymarket prediction markets, then cross-references coverage from NYT, Fox News, and Tagesschau. An AI model analyzes the gap between market pricing and news sentiment to surface potential "free money" opportunities — markets where the crowd price appears significantly misaligned with available evidence.

The Pipeline

1. Fetch Active Markets: Pulls the top active Polymarket markets via their public API
2. Cross-Reference News: Scrapes political coverage from NYT, Fox News, and Tagesschau for each market topic
3. AI Analysis: Compares market odds against news evidence to estimate fair probability
4. Alert on Mispricing: If the AI finds a 10%+ gap, sends a detailed Slack alert with the rationale

Why Multiple News Sources

Using ideologically diverse sources (left, right, and international) reduces bias in the AI's fair-value estimate. A signal that shows up across all three sources is stronger than one that appears in only one.

Setup

1. Click "Use template" on this page
2. Connect your Slack workspace and select the channel for alerts
3. The workflow runs automatically every 2 hours — no further configuration needed
4. Optionally adjust the mispricing threshold (default: 10%)

Best Practices

• Not financial advice — this is an informational tool. Always do your own research before trading.
• Review the rationale — the AI explains its reasoning in each Slack alert. Read it critically.
• Timing matters — markets move fast around breaking news. Act on alerts promptly or they may already be priced in.
• Adjust threshold — lower the 10% threshold for more alerts, raise it for fewer but higher-confidence signals.

Tech Stack

• Data Source: Polymarket public API
• News Sources: NYT, Fox News, Tagesschau (via web scraping)
• AI Analysis: Compares market pricing vs. news evidence
• Notifications: Slack alerts for mispriced markets

Who Is This For

Polymarket traders and prediction market enthusiasts who want to:

• Automate market monitoring instead of manually checking odds
• Get alerted to potential mispricings backed by news evidence
• Save hours of daily research across multiple news sources
• Surface opportunities they might otherwise miss